SMBA ’14 College Football Picks: Week 13

Welcome back to the San Diego State Sports MBA college football picks segment! We hope you all enjoyed Week 12 of the college football season.

Let’s see the standings after our Week 12 predictions:

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Adam swung and missed on just about every game last week, going a staggering 1-3.  Dan managed to pick up the Extra Point and the gap to second is now three points.  With only two weeks left, can either Adam or Blake catch up?

We return to normal games this week.  We apologize for making you hunt through your TV guide to find the games we picked last week.  That will not be an issue in this edition.  Click through to see our picks! 

 

After much deliberation, the games we will look at this week are:

 

(#12)Texas A&M @ (#22)Louisiana State

(#17)Arizona State @ (#14)UCLA

(#4)Baylor @ (#10)Oklahoma State

Boise State @ San Diego State

 

Without further ado, here are our picks!

 

Texas A&M @ LSU

Adam:

This will be the stereotypical “unstoppable force v. immovable object” game.  LSU is undefeated at home.  The Aggies have score 41 or more points in every game this season.  The Tigers give up big points to good teams.  Can the LSU offense keep pace with the Aggies? This one has track meet written all over it.

45-34 Texas A&M

Blake:

Texas A&M will travel into Baton Rouge this week to face the Bayou Bengals.  This game is a contrast of styles as the Aggies will look to spread the field and LSU will attempt to bruise and batter their way into the end zone.  Look for Zac Mettenberger and Jeremy Hill to move the ball up and down the field on the Aggies’ porous defense.  Johnny Manziel has one of the most impressive wide receivers in the country in Mike Adams at his disposal and if I have learned anything over the past two years of college football, I don’t pick against Johnny Football anymore.

45-38 Aggies

Dan:

Both teams are likely disappointed with their season thus far but this game will go a long way towards deciding bowl games. Texas A&M could have a shot at a BCS bowl with a win. The Texas A&M offense hasn’t been held under 41 point this season. I don’t think LSU can match that.

45-28 Aggies

Logan:

Frankly, I am tired of writing about Johnny Manziel.  I hope Kevin Sumlin ditches A&M for the soon-to-be-open Texas job next year.  Les Miles is a red-light-running maniac who will enjoy the opportunity to open his bag of tricks to keep the LSU season alive.

36-29 LSU

 

Arizona State @ UCLA

Adam:

Big-time implications in this game.  ASU can become the representative for the Pac-12 South in their championship game with a win. (Whoever comes out of the south will likely get steamrolled by Oregon, but that is another story.)  UCLA is undefeated at the Rose Bowl, while ASU underwhelms on the road.  The Bruins still have something to play for, so I think they show up big and take down the Sun Devils.

38-24 UCLA

Blake:

Both of these teams control their own destiny in the PAC-12 South and the winner of this game will all but decide who plays in the conference championship game.  The Sun Devils have been led by dynamic quarterback Taylor Kelley who has the ability to evade the pass rush and throw on the run.  He will more than likely need to be doing plenty of that against UCLA; which has one of the best linebacker corps in the conference.  The Bruins have a true two-way player in freshman linebacker/running back Myles Jack (who rushed for 4 TDs last week) which is really incredible and shows what type of athletes Jim Mora has recruited.  Look for potential first-rounder LB Anthony Barr to trouble Kelley just enough to get the Bruins the win at home.

35-31 UCLA

Dan:

Big matchup for the second tier of teams in the PAC-12. Really excited to see what ASU’s defense can do against UCLA’s Brett Hundley run offense. I think ASU is a little bit overrated at this point, so I’ll lean UCLA.

31-24 Bruins

Logan:

Arizona State looked like a bit of a fluke to start the season, squeaking by Wisconsin in a game that saw one of the strangest endings in recent memory.  UCLA is riding the output of Myles Jack, a true freshman breakout star.  In a nod to old school, hardnosed, two-way football, UCLA gets the victory.

43-31 UCLA

 

Baylor @ Oklahoma State

Adam:

Baylor enters this matchup just outside the BCS Championship Game picture.  Oklahoma State has won six straight games to get back into the Big 12 Championship discussion.  Baylor is averaging an astounding 685 yards of offense per game. Oklahoma State’s defense, giving up about 375 yards per game, will have a hard time dealing with that potent attack.  Expect the Bears to go for style points to try to pass Ohio State in next week’s BCS standings.

52-24 Baylor

Blake:

Another huge game in the Big-12 this week as Oklahoma State attempts to thwart Baylor’s national championship hopes.  Baylor is coming off of a game that was very close early, but the Bears turned it into a laugher in the second half.  This team continues to put up video-game type numbers and they are still averaging over 300 yards rushing and passing per game.  It remains to be seen if there is any way to stop Bryce Petty and the Baylor offense, so look for the Cowboys to play keep away and sustain drives.  I think Ok State can do this with a heavy dose of runs featuring Desmond Roland and their “passing QB” Clint Chelf.  The Cowboys have a respectable defense and have the ability to drop Baylor. The Cowboys can possess the ball for over 45 minutes and Baylor can still win this game so I’m not the most confident about this upset pick.

42-35 Cowboys

Dan:

Huge game in the Big 12. Practically the Big 12 championship and the game I most want to watch this weekend. It will be touchdowns all over the field. I think Baylor is the more well rounded team, but watch for Justin Gilbert to shut down half the field and give OSU’s defense a chance.

45-38 Bears

Logan:

The dog days of November tend to be the time that conferences begin to cannibalize themselves.  We have seen upsets of higher ranked away teams in each of the last few seasons.  Oklahoma State looks to upset Baylor, ending their Cinderella season.  This pick is not really for Oklahoma State, nor against Baylor.  This pick is for an uncluttered BCS picture.

42-24 Oklahoma State

 

Boise State @ San Diego State

Adam:

In completely non-noteworthy news, I will be making my first appearance at Qualcomm Stadium this year! It is about time, right!?  Anyway… The Aztecs still have an outside shot at winning the conference, but will have to get past a tough Broncos team this week.  The Aztecs seem to be hitting the right notes right now, riding a four-game win streak into Saturday.  The Broncos are one of those teams that always plays tough, regardless of where the game is held.  I know…the Broncos gave my Spartans all they could handle last year.  Rumors are already starting to swirl that the Nebraska coaching position may be open after this year, and Chris Peterson, to exactly nobody’s surprise, is one of the names being floated around.  Distraction?  This will be a tough test for our men, but I think we pull the upset in a close game.

34-24 SDSU

Blake:

The Aztecs kept it close against an inferior opponent once again last week, but they returned home bowl-eligible.  San Diego State better not get complacent because they welcome Boise and the sea of Blue and Orange that accompanies them to Qualcomm Stadium.  SDSU Junior RB Adam Muema has rushed for at least 100 yards in 5 of his last 6, and the Aztecs will need him to have another strong performance.  The Broncos are tremendously balanced on offense and have big-play threat Jay Ajayi at RB.  Boise’s 17th best scoring offense in the nation is incredibly balanced and will give SDSU all they can handle.  If Boise wants to get another shot at Fresno in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game they need to handle business in San Diego.  My bet is Chris Peterson will have his team ready to roll, and unfortunately I don’t think the Aztecs will be ready for them.

38-21 Boise

Dan:

Huge game this weekend for SDSU against perennial conference championship contender Boise State. Definitely a down year for Boise but they still are strong. I think Boise has a little bit too much for SDSU, but will absolutely be an exciting game.

34-20 Boise

Logan:

Boise State finds themselves in an uncharacteristic down year.  SDSU, after starting off horrendously in their first three games have righted the ship under Junior Collee transfer quarterback Quin Kaehler.  Having played and won many close games this year, look for the Aztecs to bring their A game and not flinch in the face of a strong opponent.

32-18 Aztecs

 

As always, here’s a recap for the visual learners:

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After this week, we have just one week left of the college football regular season.  We will not be picking the conference Championship games, just enjoying them.  Thank you to those who have kept reading each week.  We appreciate it.

Enjoy week 13.  Go Aztecs!

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