SMBA ’14 College Football Picks: Week 5

Welcome back to the San Diego State Sports MBA college football picks segment! We hope you all enjoyed Week 4 of the college football season.

First, let’s see how we did with our Week 4 predictions:

Scoresheet Post Week 4 scrn

Adam, once again, got caught in the ‘blind Big Ten faith’ trap.  Kudos to Logan for being the only one to really go out on a limb, but his upset picks did not work out.  Dan once again takes home the Extra Point for most closely predicting the score of the SDSU game last week.  With that, Dan pulls away to stand alone in first, followed closely by Blake then Adam.

This week’s slate of games has some intriguing matchups.  Click through to see the games and predictions! 

After much deliberation, the games we will look at this week are:

(#6)Louisiana State @ (#9)Georgia

(#23)Wisconsin @ (#4)Ohio State

(#14)Oklahoma @ (#22)Notre Dame

San Diego State @ New Mexico State


Without further ado, here are our picks!


Louisiana State @ Georgia


Will the real Bulldogs please stand up? Georgia has a loss at Clemson, but also has a win at home against South Carolina.  Is this a case of a team that is good at home but not so good on the road? Meanwhile, LSU has cruised to this point.  This game should reveal how good these teams really are.  I like Murray, Gurley, and the hedges. (That kind of sounds like a band I would be interested in seeing)







42-34 Georgia


College Gameday is heading to Athens, Georgia for this SEC matchup.  Georgia has been battle tested early on in this season as this is their third game against a Top 15 opponent already!  LSU and Zac Mettenberger have looked really potent on offense this year against some questionable opponents (compared to Georgia’s).  But they will have trouble running with the Dawgs, who have been putting up over 40 points a game against tougher opponents. Georgia still has explosive weapons on offense in Murray, Gurley, and Marshall.  I rolled with Georgia in week 2, I will do it again.

34-30 Dawgs


LSU has a more balanced offense than Georgia, however this will be Georgia’s 3rd game against a Top 10 team and they get to play LSU at home. I think this will be the best game of the weekend but I expect Zach Mettenberger and Jeremy Hill to play just a bit better.

24-21 Tigers


Buckle up for some hard-hitting football between the hedges this weekend.  The fighting Mad Hatters will come in to Athens for one heck of a slobber-knocker.  Mark Richt and Les Miles have both shown signs of greatness in big games, but they have also both stumbled in the spotlight.  Aaron Murray will regress to his inconsistent play from last year.

16-9 LSU


Wisconsin @ Ohio State


Uncle Urban, lead ringmaster of THE Ohio State University’s travelling football circus, has proven he is not afraid to run up the score.  That should make this game interesting, as Wisconsin had a propensity to do the same thing prior to this year, under former head coach Bret Bielema.  This iteration of the Badgers lacks that degree of killer instinct, but they can still put up points.  Wisconsin struggled mightily against the only real competition they have faced this year, Arizona State.  That is not good news, as Braxton Miller & Kenny Guiton, co-starters this week, are no strangers to the endzone.

45-21 Buckeyes


This game has me scratching my head and I cannot decide who will win this game.  I think the teams are evenly matched, with or without Braxton Miller as the Buckeye quarterback.  I love Wisconsin’s running game and believe that helps keep this close, but the Buckeyes have a sizeable QB advantage.  It might take Miller a quarter or so to get back into the groove, so if the Badgers start off hot I think they might hold on.  I will take Ohio State, reluctantly, in a close one.

31-21 Buckeyes


If Wisconsin can run the ball well against this OSU defense, they have a chance. They have put up a lot of yards this season, but OSU will likely have the toughest defense they play this season. I think OSU’s offense will be able to put up enough points to win.

34-24 OSU


Except for an odd-finish at Arizona State a few weeks ago, Wisconsin has looked stellar, averaging 41 points per game on offense and only allowing an average of 10.5 points per game on defense.  Those numbers are soft though, considering that 32 of the 42 point they have allowed came in the aforementioned lost to Arizona State.  Ohio State, on the other hand, has looked great, even with Kenny Guiton filling in for an injured Braxton Miller.  Both quarterbacks are listed as ready to play this week.  No matter who gets the ball, Urban Meyer’s offense will be in good hands.

38-18 Ohio State


Oklahoma @ Notre Dame


Since I have to pick a game involving the Irish again this week, and since they beat my Alma Mater last week, I am somewhat inclined to take them based on nothing more than shame.  But, then I looked at the numbers and thought otherwise.  Oklahoma has a defense comparable to my Spartans’.  Additionally, they have a competent offense. That will be an obstacle for the Irish they did not have to face last week.  Without some of the (disputed) home cooking the Irish enjoyed last week, this one should go to Stoops and Co.

31-13 Sooners


Another Notre Dame game on the docket this week because they continue to have one of the toughest schedules year after year.  Stopping Blake Bell is going to be the key to this game as I believe the Irish have to keep this game in the 20s in order to win.  I have been rooting for the Fightin’ Irish my entire life, so there is no way I am picking them to lose, right?  Right!

27-21 Irish


These teams are pretty evenly matched. Both are historic teams, have questions at the QB position, but are carried by their strong defenses. I think Tommy Rees is a little bit better QB and will be able to make the big plays for ND.

20-17 OU


I will let it be known that I am not a Notre Dame fan.  I respect their institution and their traditions but I firmly believe in a Notre Dame bias that gives them extra credit for their prestige.  That said, the Irish have one loss this year and it came at the hands of an underwhelming Michigan team who barely held on to beat UConn last week.  Oklahoma is currently undefeated, outscoring their three opponents 101-27.  Given the return of Mike Stoops as defensive coordinator and the benefit of a bye week, I think Oklahoma takes this one from the Irish.

27-20 Oklahoma


San Diego State @ New Mexico State


Is this the week our Aztecs get into the win column? They looked decent against a formidable Oregon State squad last week, and face an Aggies team that is winless, as well, this week.  NMSU has gotten rolled against three of its four opponents this year, which leads me to believe that they will continue the losing trend this week.  To quote Logan from last week: “Fight on, ye Aztec men!”

34-17 Aztecs


This is the week that the Aztecs begin to turn the page and get going in the right direction.  They are on the road, but they should handle the Aggies in this game.  San Diego State looked better against Oregon State last week, especially on offense under Quinn Kaehler.  Look for the Aztecs to shake off this 0-3 start with a win in Las Cruces on Saturday.

41-20 Aztecs


So close to a big win last week. So close. Good news is someone is going to get their first win this week. Even better news is SDSU has looked a little stronger this season.

31-17 SDSU


In a battle of defeateds, the Aztecs head into New Mexico trying to recover from letting a win slip out of their hands at home against Oregon State last week.  The Aggies are nursing their wounds from a beat down at the hands of UCLA.  Both teams rank horribly on the defensive side of the ball so expect a high scoring affair with hopefully the better team winning.

47-38 Aztecs

As always, here’s a recap for the visual learners:

Week 5 Picks scrn



Before we go, we would be remiss if we did not mention that today is Blake’s birthday! Congratulations, Blake, and maybe some birthday luck will come your way for the picks this week.

The college football landscape is shaping up nicely this year.  We hope you enjoy Week 5 and have a great weekend.  Thanks for tuning in, and we will see you next week!

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